The 0.4% Bet Nobody Is Watching – A Tail Risk Signal in Oil
I saw a number on Polymarket today: 0.4%. That's the market's implied...
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0xPlanB
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2026-07-21
#Tail Risk
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ETH
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LINK
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$11.64
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Fear & Greed
53
Neutral
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202610
05
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Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
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28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
08
04
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Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$80,920.5
1
Ethereum
ETH
$2,344.95
1
Solana
SOL
$101.27
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$708.2
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.26
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0766
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.2127
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$9.37
1
Polkadot
DOT
$1.06
1
Chainlink
LINK
$11.64
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