The 66% Signal: What Trump's Impeachment Odds Reveal About Our Collapsing Trust in Governance
The number sits on a screen like a strange artifact from a future we were...
Kalshi related articles
The number sits on a screen like a strange artifact from a future we were...
03:00 UTC. The CFTC filing cabinet just creaked open. A new application from...
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has a new application on its...
When a prediction market startup files for a stock index futures product, the...
Over the past 7 days, I watched fortunes bloom and wither in real-time as...
On September 15, the U.S. Senate will vote on the Clarity Act. A procedural...
A $40 billion valuation for a company that generates 80% of its revenue from...
Trust bridge crossed. Crash imminent. A Washington State judge just ordered...
We didn't just hunt alpha; we rewired the game. The New York City Council isn...
Hook Kalshi just launched a real-time market data feed on DoubleZero Edge. On...
Signal detected. Action required. The CFTC just did something unprecedented i...
The most dangerous oracle in crypto isn't a smart contract bug or a flash loa...
When I first audited Polymarket’s smart contracts back in 2020, I never...
Kalshi's founder just told the world he doesn't know how to manage. That's no...
Volatility isn’t the enemy; it’s the signal. Right now, a very specific signa...
Federal regulators moved first. State regulators moved second. That order, no...
The number is absurd on its face. Thirty-six billion dollars in compensatory...
The data shows a 50% probability this ruling was priced in. On September 12,...
I was sitting in a Kreuzberg café, staring at my laptop screen as the news...
The CFTC just fired a warning shot across the bow of prediction markets. On...
Hook Kalshi spent $1.8 million on federal lobbying in the first half of 2026....
Over the past six months, Kalshi spent $990,000 on lobbying. Nearly the same...
While everyone fixated on last week’s CPI print, a quieter storm gathered in ...
Metadata holds the provenance the price ignored. In January 2026, the lobbyin...
I watched the silence break the noise of 2021. Back then, prediction markets...
The block confirms what the eyes missed. Two headlines landed on my desk this...
The code does not lie, but it often omits. On Polymarket, the contract for...
Hook On a quiet Tuesday morning, Kalshi, the CFTC-regulated prediction market...
Chaos detected. Analysis loading. The 22nd of July, 2024, wasn't a date for...
The public sees the spark: a PR head declaring that US states have no...
Greed
Market Sentiment
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
92 million ARB released
Team and early investor shares released
Block reward halving event
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Bitcoin Season